Middles Software

Middle betting is an advanced strategy that can earn big returns from very little risk. It has two big advantages. First, middles that aren’t also arbs tend to look like ordinary mug bets to the bookies, which protects your account health on accounts that haven’t been gubbed, and can even help keep them healthy. Second, middles don’t rely on promos, so they can still be used on accounts that are already gubbed. A middle is essentially a dutch, backing both sides of a line across different bookies, but with the added bonus of a double payout if the result lands in the middle. The Middles software looks a lot like the Dutching software, with one key difference: it adds the Effective Odds, Fair Odds and EV columns, which tell you whether a middle is actually worth chasing.

Effective odds

The effective odds of a middle are worked out from two things: the qualifying loss you take when placing the bets, and the potential payout if the middle hits. High effective odds are generally a good sign, as they often point to a low-risk middle. On their own though, high effective odds do not mean a middle is profitable, which is where fair odds and EV come in.

Fair odds and expected value

For a middle to be positive value, the effective odds need to be higher than the fair odds of the middle actually hitting. Say you back over 39.5 points at one bookie and under 40.5 at another. The middle only wins if the game finishes on exactly 40. To be profitable long term, the effective odds of that bet have to be higher than the true odds of the game landing on exactly 40. The EV column does that comparison for you, so you can see at a glance whether a middle is worth placing.

How the fair odds are worked out

Working out the fair odds of a middle hitting is not simple, but thanks to the huge amount of data in the Odds Comparison tool, the software can estimate it for most markets. Using the example above, it takes the fair odds for over 39.5 and under 40.5, converts both into probabilities and adds them together. Because both markets include the outcome of exactly 40, the total comes to more than 100 percent, and the amount over 100 is the probability of the middle hitting. In some cases fair odds are not available, and the software will only show the effective odds and the qualifying loss. You can still find great middles then, they just take a bit more research to confirm they are positive value.

Filters

Like the other tools, the Middles software is highly customisable so you can find exactly the middles that suit your strategy.

• Quick search: for simple searches, such as finding a specific bookmaker, use the quick search option.
• Advanced filters: the filter menu has plenty of options, and two of the most useful are Middle Size and Middle Value. Middle Size lets you filter out the half-point and one-point middles and focus on those with two or more points between the bets, which have a higher chance of hitting. Middle Value works well alongside a sport filter. In the NRL, for example, middles that pay out on an even margin are more likely to hit, so you could set Middle Value to “is even.” In the NFL you might set it to “is any of 3 or 7.” Once a filter is set up, save it with the Filter Manager so it is easy to reuse.

Letting the tool do the work

The software monitors the odds across 80+ Australian bookmakers in real time, spotting the gaps between lines and totals so you find profitable middles without doing the heavy lifting. It automatically works out the effective odds, compares them to the fair market odds, and shows you the expected value of each bet, so you get the full picture instantly.

The short version

Middles are a clever, low-risk way to place value bets. Because they don’t rely on promos, they work on gubbed accounts, and because they can look like ordinary mug bets, they help protect the accounts you haven’t burned yet. The software finds them and does the maths for you. It is available on the Pro tier. Start free with a BonusBank account to take a look.